Fibonacci Retracement & Flags and Pennants
Disclaimer: The posts on HyperLinq blog and associated sites are for educational purposes only to generate discussion. These posts should not be taken as trading advice, nor are they meant to be viewed as trading advice.
In the realm of trading, there are quite a few technical indicators available for traders. For crypto traders to trade profitably, it’s recommended for a trader to limit their analysis to a two through four indicators that measure diverse aspects of the price action. The crypto market, and Bitcoin, in particular, tend to follow technical indicators rules as the market inclines to follow the same as the forex market. The two indicators that will be discussed in this blog takes volatility, retracement levels, and trend into account.
Fibonacci Retracement is based on the simple calculation made by the Italian mathematician Leonardo Pisano, also known as Fibonacci. Fibonacci came up with what is known as the Fibonacci number sequence, which is founded on the assumption that every number is after 0 and 1, equals the sum of the two previous numbers. Meaning that the arrangement would look like this: 0, 1, 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 13, etc. The calculation is simple, but this does not just apply to the crypto trading world but also on many forms of the natural world.
According to the Fibonacci calculation, each number is 1.618 greater than the number before it, which is called the golden ratio. Traders using the Fibonacci numerical order can stem other basic percentages like the Fibonacci Retracement. Fibonacci Retracement is used primarily among the most current lowest and highest price. The most common Fibonacci numbers are 38.2% and 61.8%, but 50%, 78.6% and 23.6% numbers also held occasionally. Though, some traders will point out that not all percentages in the retracement are in harmonized with the Fibonacci calculation. When traders use Fibonacci retracement, the look to assume the likely trend reversals as the main horizontal lines can be the precise points from where the price of the crypto coin can bounce in the other direction. Fibonacci levels are mainly psychological for traders. Fibonacci Retracement works because so many traders are using it, and they work best in the lack of other standards or information. Fibonacci Retracement also tends to repeat; if the first retracement is 61.8%, the second will often also be to 61.8%.
Flags and Pennants
Flags and pennants are extension patterns that marked as a short consolidation period before the previous movement continues. The trend typically is heralded by a sharp increase or decrease in the price of the crypto asset. Flags and pennants are frequently used interchangeably and are named because of the shape that they form on trading charts. A flag or pennant is created when the crypto asset’s price either sharply rises or declines, then it is followed by a slight sideways price movement. This sideways price movement can either form a rectangular shape, a flag or pennant. The sudden rise or fall in the price before a flag or pennant is called the flag pole.
When a trader spots a flag or pennant pattern, they would usually place a stop-loss order just below the lower trend line for a bullish flag. Contrary, if the price trend is bearish, then a trader would often put a stop-loss order just above the flag or pennant. To predict the target price where the pattern might break, traders can analyze the price of the flag pole and then add this length to the bottom of the flag or pennant, for a bullish pattern. On the contrary, for a bearish trend, the extent of the flag pole is subtracted from the top of the flag or pennant.
The crypto market will always have its unforeseen market conditions. But the Fibonacci Retracement and the flag & pennants indicators are among the most popular indicators that traders use to recognize high probability opportunities to trade in the crypto market.
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